Picture Consensus

Consensus

Prior the the publication of the quarterly results, Deutsche Telekom provides a detailed consensus for the upcoming quarterly results, the current financial year and the next four years.

The following consensus numbers are still as of February 3, 2025, 23 days before the Q4 results but will be updated for Q4 by first week of Feb latest.

(€ millions)

Q4

FY24FY25FY26FY27

FY28

Revenues

30,734

115,569

122,232

127,192

131,555

134,480

EBITDA AL* (adjusted)

10,811

43,217

46,043

48,850

51,924

54,413

Cash capex

3,973

15,919

16,966

17,207

17,398

17,580

Free cashflow AL*
(before dividend payout)

4,050

19,176

20,375

21,129

22,110

23,703

Net debt (incl. leasing obligations)

136,307

136,340

138,399

138,053

137,038

133,722

Net debt (excl. leasing obligations)

99,040

98,718

100,164

98,058

95,849

92,434

Net income (adjusted)

2,129

9,162

9,964

11,321

12,403

13,575

* AL = After Leases (IFRS 16)

(€)

Q4

FY24

FY25

FY26

FY27

FY28

Earnings per share (adjusted)

0.45

1.87

2.10

2.39

2.69

2.94

Dividends per share

0.90

1.00

1.13

1.25

1.40

Consensus-Teaser

Detailed consensus (60 lines)

All details like
-segment data (financial and operational KPIs)
-high/low and the number of included analysts for every estimate
available in these documents:

Consensus (pdf, 332.5 KB)
Consensus in excel format (xlsx, 51.9 KB)

Deutsche Telekom will start to collect the usual sell side analyst estimates for Q1/2025 Monday 3rd Apr. 2025.

The following points DT has given analysts to remind when compiling their projections:

  • Net debt effects
    • FX: As always - and particularly relevant this quarter - please keep in mind that each 1cent move in the $US corresponds to approximately €1bn incremental net debt. 
    • FX: As always please keep in mind that each 1cent move in the $US between balance sheet dates corresponds to approximately €1bn incremental net debt. The $US exchange rate was 1.039 at 31 December 2024.
    • DT buyback: In Q1 we spent approx. 0.4bn €
    • TMUS shareholder returns: TMUS has announced $14bn of shareholder returns in 2025, split into dividends and share buybacks. In Q1 TMUS paid 0.5bn US$ of dividends to third parties and 0.5bn US$ to DT. In Q1, we did not sell into the TMUS SBB. On 24 January DT’s stake was 51.5%.
    • M&A: TMUS announced the closing of the Vistar and Blis transaction in Q1. Combined agreed purchase price (subject to customary adjustments) was 0.8bn US$
  • Other
    • Please also note that TMUS will report their Q1 results on April 24th.

Please see detailed time schedule for compilation of consensus

Deadline for Submission:

EOB Thursday, April 10th 2025

Individual Feedback period:

Wednesday, April 16th 2025 onwards

Start of Quiet Period:

April 25th 2025

Publication of Consensus:

EOB Tuesday, April 29th 2025 at the latest

Publication of Results:                    

Thursday, May 15th 2025

Consensus files for previous quarters are available on the page for the quarterly results and the download page.

Background on the consensus and disclaimer

The consensus is the median of all available and meaningful estimates from equity analysts on Deutsche Telekom's future financials.

Our detailed review of all submitted estimates ensures the highest possible data quality. We make sure, that all estimates are based on the same definitions and reflect the latest structural changes in Deutsche Telekom. Moreover we remind every analyst of the latest relevant publicly known news. Thus the data quality of this consensus is higher than automated compiled consensi from third parties like Visible Alpha, Blomberg, Factset etc.

This document has been issued by Deutsche Telekom AG for information purposes only and is not intended to constitute investment advice. It is based on estimates and forecasts of various analysts regarding our revenues, earnings and business developments. Such estimates and forecasts cannot be independently verified by reason of the subjective character. Deutsche Telekom gives no guarantee, representation or warranty and is not responsible or liable as to its accuracy and completeness.

Picture results Deutsche Telekom AG

Financial results fourth quarter 2024

On Wednesday, February 26, 2025 Deutsche Telekom published its results for Q4 2024.

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